I recently appeared on an episode of the new Distance Covered podcast, in which host Josh Williams and I discussed how much difference managers make to the success or failure of a team.
Interesting read (as always). Is it possible to know the expected points Sporting got in each of their previous 3 seasons to compare with Amorim's results and see what impact he had? Also, decline in 3rd year is assumed to be down to player sales? Is that the case? How many minutes were lost during the summer leading to that season)?
"I’ve never been a fan of Understat’s xP (not that they cover Portugal), as they don’t add up; the recent match between Liverpool and Brighton ended 2.83-0.11 on expected points, leaving 0.06 to the ether."
Isn't that to allow for the possibility of a draw, where there are only two points awarded in total?
Interesting read (as always). Is it possible to know the expected points Sporting got in each of their previous 3 seasons to compare with Amorim's results and see what impact he had? Also, decline in 3rd year is assumed to be down to player sales? Is that the case? How many minutes were lost during the summer leading to that season)?
Thanks, Paul - you'll have to leave that with me! But those are good things to check.
"I’ve never been a fan of Understat’s xP (not that they cover Portugal), as they don’t add up; the recent match between Liverpool and Brighton ended 2.83-0.11 on expected points, leaving 0.06 to the ether."
Isn't that to allow for the possibility of a draw, where there are only two points awarded in total?